The New England Patriots will look to sweep the season series against the New York Jets when the AFC East rivals meet on Monday Night Football at MetLife Stadium. On Sept. 22, Tom Brady threw two touchdown passes and the Patriots didn’t allow an offensive score in a 30-14 win over the Jets. The win was New England’s seventh straight over its AFC East rivals, although the Jets covered a 21-point spread. The Patriots (6-0) enter Monday Night Football as one of two teams that are still undefeated, joining the unbeaten San Francisco 49ers. Meanwhile, the Jets (1-4) are coming off their first victory of the season, a shocking 24-22 upset of the Cowboys. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. New England is a 10-point favorite in the latest Jets vs. Patriots odds, and the over-under for total points scored is 43, up a half-point from where the line opened. Before you make any Patriots vs. Jets picks, see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 7 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 24-15 run that dates back to last season. It’s also on an incredible 86-58 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. And in Week 6, it nailed the Patriots (-17) covering a large spread against the Giants and the Seahawks (+1) winning straight-up as underdogs against the Browns.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has honed in on Patriots vs. Jets. We can tell you it is leaning under, and it also has generated an against the spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. That pick is available only at SportsLine.
The model has factored in that the Patriots will be facing one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL. In fact, the Jets are running for just 64.0 yards per game, and only the Bengals have been worse entering the week. In addition, Jets back Le’Veon Bell is averaging 3.0 yards per carry on 85 attempts and has not passed 3.57 yards per carry in any game this year. That bodes well for a New England team that leads the NFL in total defense (234.7 yards per game), scoring defense (8.0 points per game) and turnovers forced (16).
In addition, the model has factored in that the Patriots have had the Jets’ number. New England has beaten the Jets seven straight times, with an average score of 30-10. The Patriots haven’t lost to the Jets since December 2015.
Even so, New England isn’t guaranteed to cover the Patriots vs. Jets spread on Monday Night Football.
The Jets are vastly better with Darnold back under center. After missing three games because of mononucleosis, the quarterback returned on Sunday to complete 23-of-32 passes for 338 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Dallas. The team’s 382 total yards and 24 points were both season-highs.
In addition, there’s a chance linebacker C.J. Mosley plays on Monday night. The playmaking linebacker returned to the practice field on Thursday for the first time since Week 1, when he injured his groin against the Bills. Prior to his injury in that game, Mosley and the Jets’ defense were stuffing Buffalo until he was forced to leave the game in the third quarter. With Mosley on the field, New York allowed three points and 4.8 yards per play over nine Bills possessions. After he left, the Jets allowed 14 points and 8.9 yards per play. He’s officially questionable.
So who wins Jets vs. Patriots on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Jets vs. Patriots spread to jump on Monday, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.